Understanding inventory pressure

Northern Virginia Real estate Activity Doug Francis Realtor

Available Inventory has dropped while sales remain consistent. Click to enlarge.

Really, what’s the deal?

Have you been looking at homes recently only to find that the listing you saw on Trulia.com  Wednesday afternoon is now under-contract?

Well, that’s been a problem for many buyers engaged in Northern Virginia real estate going into this year (2013) and it appears to be a systemic issue affecting the broader real estate market. Take a look at this five-year snapshot and note the number of “active” listings in December 2012 compared to the overall period.

If you are a current home buyer then you are probably thinking, “that’s what I am seeing”.

The factors that have been influencing consumer behavior have been:

  • uncertainty about the economy and job market like most parts of the country
  • the continuous downward trend in mortgage interest rates have made existing mortgages more affordable through refinancing.
  • a decision to stay-put

A stronger interest in “staying-put” has become the big influencer for existing home owners that are making real estate decisions. People are taking a second look at their communities in Northern Virginia and recognizing that they live in nice areas already.

So, why move? The grass certainly doesn’t look any greener and the commute looks longer!

As a result, I have met with many home owners in Vienna, McLean and Oakton Virginia who have decided to remodel and expand their homes rather than move.

My buyer clients understand that our strategy is essential

So, if you are a home buyer then you are caught in a “squeeze play” – the home owner affordability index works in your favor but fewer people are selling their homes. Rather than a hit or miss approach, having a clear strategy from the get-go includes much more than having a pre-approval letter from a mortgage professional.

These charts will update monthly so let’s watch the trend change. (Hint: BOOKMARK this page)

Vienna Virginia Real Estate Trends

McLean Virginia Real Estate Trends

These charts can be re-engineered depending on what you are looking for from the real estate stats, so if there is something missing then let me know via email or comment below.

 

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About Doug Francis

Doug has been selling homes across Northern Virginia since 1991. Tapping into his geeky side, he created this WordPress blog ( dougfrancis.com ) in 2009 which has been used as a small business case study in an eBook, mentioned on MSNMoney and discussed at a Realtor Association conference. In his spare time, he enjoys iPhone photography using Instagram and using his Canon DSLR to capture the world he sees every day. Morning coffee is also a must.

Comments

  1. It seems as though inventory is down all around the country. In Arizona we are down nearly 80% from a year ago.

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